In numbers United played better, but Cardiff even closing and playing with less intensity managed to score 2 goals and create a xG of 1.71 against 1.90, which here is something close.
What do we play with this?
That in this game Man Utd would simply give their rivals a chance of goals, and knowing their track record, they actually concede many goals. United have simply conceded goals in a row in the last fifteen games before that one.
The tip we gave for this game on Bet Tip was Cardiff over 0.75 Goals. We have taken into account the xGa of United’s latest games (looking for this on this site or on others), as well as peculiar factors that are found in each match.
We used the 검증 사이트 site as an example, but there are several others on the internet and many others with information shared on twitter.
What do we do with the xG metrics we have?
Each xG statistic highlights a performance. There are many, so we created a glossary that can be seen at the end of the text. As we have a little more experience than you reader, we already know how to interpret the metrics we get, and in my analysis we always take into account peculiar things from each team. we will be more clear.
xGa is a number of goals that a team “should” award. In the 2017/18 Premier League season, Manchester United conceded a total of 28 goals and this helped them finish with the runner-up. But the team’s xGa throughout the season was 43.54, giving a difference of 15.54 goals (28 goals conceded + 15.54 that they “should” award). And the reason for conceding less goals is in goalkeeper De Gea, who for me made the best season of a goalkeeper in that competition.
So while we knew United’s xGa could steer me to one side, a side where the team would probably score, we always pushed ahead with how strong it was to have De Gea under the goalposts.
Another example
Tiago Nunes Athletico PR is a team that has a very good xG at home, but playing away from home this xG decreases a lot, and what increases is xGa. So when Hurricane was visiting a team that usually had a good xG, my bet could be on goals or on that team’s win.
Above we put two examples of how we interpret these lines, but we can write more examples of how we do. And as we said, we have notebook notes and that helps me with my bets.
That’s it?
No, it’s definitely not just that. Have you heard of Possion? Yeah, click on the word to know what it is. If you already know what it is and how to calculate it, just move on.
